Analysis: Bitcoin's short-term trend is expected to be weak, with a higher probability of testing $45,000 this year than a return to $100,000.

PANews reported on March 22 that Polymarket, a prediction market, stated on its X platform that the probability of Bitcoin falling to $45,000 this year is now higher than the probability of it returning to $100,000, indicating a weak short-term outlook. In its prediction of "What price will Bitcoin reach in 2026?", the probability of it falling to $45,000 is currently 47%, while the probability of it returning to $100,000 is currently 38%.